As theCOVID-19 situation has unfolded, one thing that has helped me process what’s going on is a look at the basics of how experts are making predictions about the severity of the epidemic. I wrote up a little of my findings. Maybe this writeup will help you process too. You can find the writeup, which is a  mix of math and code, on github. https://github.com/Yurlungur/mathematics-of-epidemics Stay safe out there, everyone. We’re all in this together.